Sample report — Charmeleon

T1 ok -5.5%

You played

[Aerodactyl]: Tailwind

[Garchomp]: Stomping Tantrum

CI 90% [0.0%, 16.6%]

Engine best

[Aerodactyl]: rockslide

[Garchomp]: dragonclaw

Equilibrium mix

[Aerodactyl]: rockslide

[Garchomp]: dragonclaw

100%

Charizard: heatwave in 3/8 worldsCharizard: solarbeam in 3/8 worldsGrimmsnarl: PartingShot in 8/8 worldsGrimmsnarl: LightScreen in 6/8 worlds

Reasonable play.

T2 ok -1.0%

You played

[Garchomp]: -> Sylveon

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: Rock Slide

CI 90% [0.0%, 3.1%]

Engine best

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: protect

[Garchomp]: rockslide

Equilibrium mix

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: protect

[Garchomp]: rockslide

98%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

[Garchomp]: -> Sylveon

2%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: tailwind

[Garchomp]: stompingtantrum

0%

Grimmsnarl: LightScreen in 8/8 worldsGrimmsnarl: PartingShot in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: DragonPulse in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: ElectroShot in 8/8 worlds

Your play was inside the Nash mix (1.7%).

T3 best ~0

You played

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: Rock Slide

[Sylveon]: Hyper Voice

CI 90% [0.0%, 0.4%]

Engine best

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

Equilibrium mix

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

92%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: -> Garchomp

[Sylveon]: -> Kingambit

5%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: protect

[Sylveon]: quickattack

3%

Grimmsnarl: LightScreen in 8/8 worldsGrimmsnarl: PartingShot in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: DragonPulse in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: ElectroShot in 8/8 worlds

The best possible action.

T4 best ~0

You played

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: Rock Slide

[Sylveon]: Hyper Voice

CI 90% [0.0%, 0.7%]

Engine best

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

Equilibrium mix

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

86%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: -> Garchomp

[Sylveon]: -> Kingambit

13%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: dualwingbeat

[Sylveon]: detect

1%

Grimmsnarl: PartingShot in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: DragonPulse in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: ElectroShot in 8/8 worlds

The best possible action.

T5 mistake -22.9%

You played

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: -> Garchomp

[Sylveon]: Yawn

CI 90% [12.8%, 30.7%]

Engine best

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: protect

[Sylveon]: -> Garchomp

Equilibrium mix

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: protect

[Sylveon]: -> Garchomp

69%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: tailwind

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

28%

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

[Sylveon]: detect

3%

Archaludon: DragonPulse in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: ElectroShot in 8/8 worldsPelipper: Hurricane in 8/8 worldsPelipper: Tailwind in 8/8 worlds

Significant error. You lost 22.9% of win% (90% CI: 12.8%-30.7%). Label softened because of belief noise. You should have attacked with protect / ->Garchomp. [Uncertain verdict: the analysis invented part of the opponent's set (no OTS, no pool); treat it as a hypothesis, not a fact.] [The model assumes: Archaludon: DragonPulse in 8/8 worlds; Archaludon: ElectroShot in 8/8 worlds; Pelipper: Hurricane in 8/8 worlds; Pelipper: Tailwind in 8/8 worlds.] Calibrated real cost: ~10pp win probability.

T6 ok ~0

You played

[Sylveon]: Hyper Voice

CI 90% [0.0%, 6.6%]

Engine best

[Garchomp]: protect

[Sylveon]: quickattack

Equilibrium mix

[Garchomp]: protect

[Sylveon]: quickattack

48%

[Garchomp]: -> Aerodactyl-Mega

[Sylveon]: -> Kingambit

38%

[Garchomp]: stompingtantrum

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

12%

[Garchomp]: rockslide

[Sylveon]: detect

2%

Archaludon: DragonPulse in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: FlashCannon in 8/8 worldsPelipper: Hurricane in 8/8 worldsPelipper: WeatherBall in 7/8 worlds

Your play was inside the Nash mix (11.5%).

T6 mistake -13.3%

You played

[?]: -> Kingambit

CI 90% [9.6%, 17.4%]

Engine best

[Garchomp]: -> Aerodactyl-Mega

[Sylveon]: pass

Equilibrium mix

[Garchomp]: -> Aerodactyl-Mega

[Sylveon]: pass

100%

[Garchomp]: -> Kingambit

[Sylveon]: pass

0%

Archaludon: FlashCannon in 8/8 worldsPelipper: Hurricane in 8/8 worldsPelipper: WideGuard in 8/8 worlds

Significant error. You lost 13.3% of win% (90% CI: 9.6%-17.4%). The Nash mix favours ->Aerodactyl-Mega / pass (99.9%). [Uncertain verdict: the analysis invented part of the opponent's set (no OTS, no pool); treat it as a hypothesis, not a fact.] [The model assumes: Archaludon: FlashCannon in 8/8 worlds; Pelipper: Hurricane in 8/8 worlds; Pelipper: WideGuard in 8/8 worlds.] Calibrated real cost: ~3pp win probability.

T7 best ~0

You played

[Sylveon]: -> Aerodactyl-Mega

[Kingambit]: Sucker Punch

CI 90% [0.0%, 1.8%]

Engine best

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Sylveon]: -> Aerodactyl-Mega

Equilibrium mix

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Sylveon]: -> Aerodactyl-Mega

73%

[Kingambit]: -> Aerodactyl-Mega

[Sylveon]: quickattack

24%

[Kingambit]: kowtowcleave

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

3%

Archaludon: FlashCannon in 8/8 worldsPelipper: Hurricane in 8/8 worldsPelipper: WideGuard in 6/8 worlds

The best possible action.

T7 skipped

You played

-

Opponent replacement — not your decision, not scored.

T8 ok -1.4%

You played

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: Tailwind

[Kingambit]: Low Kick

CI 90% [0.0%, 4.6%]

Engine best

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

Equilibrium mix

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

99%

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: -> Sylveon

1%

[Kingambit]: lowkick

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: tailwind

0%

Grimmsnarl: PartingShot in 8/8 worldsArchaludon: FlashCannon in 8/8 worlds

Your play was inside the Nash mix (0.3%).

T9 best ~0

You played

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: Rock Slide

[Kingambit]: Low Kick

CI 90% [0.0%, 0.0%]

Engine best

[Kingambit]: lowkick

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

Equilibrium mix

[Kingambit]: lowkick

[Aerodactyl-Mega]: rockslide

100%

Archaludon: FlashCannon in 8/8 worlds

You played the best possible action.

T9 recommendation

You played

->Sylveon

Replacement: only one switch available (no real choice).

T10 inaccuracy -9.6%

You played

[Sylveon]: Detect

[Kingambit]: Low Kick

CI 90% [4.3%, 16.4%]

Engine best

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

Equilibrium mix

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

100%

Minor error. You lost 9.6% of win% (90% CI: 4.4%-16.4%). Label softened because of belief noise. The Nash mix favours suckerpunch / hypervoice (100.0%). [Uncertain verdict: the analysis invented part of the opponent's set (no OTS, no pool); treat it as a hypothesis, not a fact.] Calibrated real cost: ~10pp win probability.

T11 ok ~0

You played

[Sylveon]: Hyper Voice

[Kingambit]: Low Kick

CI 90% [0.0%, 0.0%]

Engine best

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

Equilibrium mix

[Kingambit]: suckerpunch

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

50%

[Kingambit]: lowkick

[Sylveon]: hypervoice

50%

Your play was inside the Nash mix (49.9%).

T11 skipped

You played

-

Opponent replacement — not your decision, not scored.

T12 skipped

Win probability

Key moments

Turns